INSIGHTS
Insights.
My perspectives on finance, strategy, leadership and technology, brought together across articles, videos and conversations.
A Hawkish Fed, Falling Treasury Yields and the $40 Trillion Debt Question
A hawkish Federal Reserve does not automatically mean higher Treasury yields. The interaction between policy expectations, Treasury market operations and risk assets can produce a very different cross-asset signal.
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Why Are Stocks Falling: Oil, Inflation or Interest Rates?
When oil prices and Treasury yields rise together, the pressure on equities can come through a clear macro transmission chain: energy, inflation expectations, bond yields and valuation.
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Oil relief and equities: assessing the Fed risk that remains
In this episode, I examine a market rebound accompanied by falling oil prices, a stronger dollar and pressure on gold and Bitcoin. The question is how durable that relief may be.
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An Unchanged Fed Rate and a Shift in Expectations
The Fed's decision to hold rates did not bring relief across markets. This episode examines the sell-off and the question of a possible hike rather than the expected direction of a cut.
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Opportunity or Risk? How Rates and Liquidity Are Repricing Markets
Strong employment data can support the economic outlook while simultaneously tightening financial conditions. This episode examines that tension across equities, precious metals and crypto assets.
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Türkiye's Tight Conditions in a Global Risk Rally
Global equity strength and Türkiye's financial conditions are pulling the discussion in different directions. This episode asks how far a supportive global backdrop can reach local assets.
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